30th April 2015 – Dying younger on average just because you are a man and living longer because you are a woman might one day be a thing of the past. A new analysis suggests that the gender gap for life expectancy in England and Wales is closing.
The study, published in The Lancet, also finds that how long we live has much to do with which part of the two countries we live in.
Lifespans by 2030
Using official figures from the last 3 decades, researchers from Imperial College London (ICL) applied a tool for predicting probable outcomes to reach their conclusions about future life expectancy.
They predict that by 2030, men's life expectancy at the time they are born will be 85.7 years and women can expect to live until they are 87.6.|
That means that the gap will have closed from 6 years in 1981 to just 1.9 years by 2030.
Between 1981 and 2012, national life expectancy in England and Wales increased by 8.2 years in men and 6 years in women.
Pensions, health and social care
Using official figures from the last 3 decades, researchers from Imperial College London (ICL) applied a tool for predicting probable outcomes to reach their conclusions about future life expectancy.
They predict that by 2030, men's life expectancy at the time they are born will be 85.7 years and women can expect to live until they are 87.6.
That means that the gap will have closed from 6 years in 1981 to just 1.9 years by 2030.
Between 1981 and 2012, national life expectancy in England and Wales increased by 8.2 years in men and 6 years in women.
Pensions, health and social care
Senior author Professor Majid Ezzati from ICL says in a statement: "Our national forecasts of life expectancy in 2030 are higher than official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), by 2.4 years for men and 1.0 years for women, meaning that pensions will have larger pay-outs than planned, and health and social services will have to serve an even older population than currently planned.
"The discrepancies found between our estimates and earlier figures are likely to be because previous estimates have extrapolated from past trends in death rates, an approach that may underestimate gains in life expectancy."
While the ONS takes a national approach, the ICL researchers drilled down to individual local authority areas. This could prove invaluable for those authorities when they plan future health and social care services.
Regional inequalities
The researchers say that although living longer should be regarded as a national success, it comes at the expense of rising inequalities between affluent and deprived areas.
The study, published in The Lancet, also finds that how long we live has much to do with which part of the two countries we live in.
Lifespans by 2030
Using official figures from the last 3 decades, researchers from Imperial College London (ICL) applied a tool for predicting probable outcomes to reach their conclusions about future life expectancy.
They predict that by 2030, men's life expectancy at the time they are born will be 85.7 years and women can expect to live until they are 87.6.|
That means that the gap will have closed from 6 years in 1981 to just 1.9 years by 2030.
Between 1981 and 2012, national life expectancy in England and Wales increased by 8.2 years in men and 6 years in women.
Pensions, health and social care
Using official figures from the last 3 decades, researchers from Imperial College London (ICL) applied a tool for predicting probable outcomes to reach their conclusions about future life expectancy.
They predict that by 2030, men's life expectancy at the time they are born will be 85.7 years and women can expect to live until they are 87.6.
That means that the gap will have closed from 6 years in 1981 to just 1.9 years by 2030.
Between 1981 and 2012, national life expectancy in England and Wales increased by 8.2 years in men and 6 years in women.
Pensions, health and social care
Senior author Professor Majid Ezzati from ICL says in a statement: "Our national forecasts of life expectancy in 2030 are higher than official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), by 2.4 years for men and 1.0 years for women, meaning that pensions will have larger pay-outs than planned, and health and social services will have to serve an even older population than currently planned.
"The discrepancies found between our estimates and earlier figures are likely to be because previous estimates have extrapolated from past trends in death rates, an approach that may underestimate gains in life expectancy."
While the ONS takes a national approach, the ICL researchers drilled down to individual local authority areas. This could prove invaluable for those authorities when they plan future health and social care services.
Regional inequalities
The researchers say that although living longer should be regarded as a national success, it comes at the expense of rising inequalities between affluent and deprived areas.
via Smart Health Shop Forum http://ift.tt/1Q4ur0U
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